BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGeneralists

Blue Jay in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-52%Since 1968
164Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Blue Jay has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 36% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 2.5–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-36%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
2.5–1095% range
±27.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.43.411
20267.23.211
20276.92.911
20286.72.711
20296.52.510

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Blue Jay in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
ManorvilleNEW-YORK702024
HauppaugeNEW-YORK582018
Jones BeachNEW-YORK382013
E PepperellMASSACHUSETTS331994
HolmansvilleNEW-JERSEY322009
Woodbury HgtNEW-JERSEY302024
HolleyvilleDELAWARE272004
LargoMARYLAND271981
Tall TimbersMARYLAND262014
VillasNEW-JERSEY261981
SinepuxentMARYLAND251978
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS242024
WesthamptonNEW-YORK242024
HuntingtonNEW-YORK242023
Cape May ChNEW-JERSEY232013
BeltsvilleMARYLAND222012
PrincetonMASSACHUSETTS221976
Ware RiverMASSACHUSETTS222022
AncoraNEW-JERSEY221977
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY222024
SouthingtonCONNECTICUT212024
New BedfordNEW-JERSEY212024
WestbrookCONNECTICUT202024
ChilmarkMASSACHUSETTS201983
MansfieldMASSACHUSETTS202024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.