Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay Population Trend in Ohio
Blue Jay in Ohio has risen sharply: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+73%Since 1968
89Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue Jay Trends in Ohio
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue Jay has risen sharply in Ohio: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Blue Jay Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 13 (95% range 9.8–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+5%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
9.8–1695% range
±14.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 9.4 | 16 |
| 2026 | 13 | 9.5 | 16 |
| 2027 | 13 | 9.6 | 16 |
| 2028 | 13 | 9.7 | 16 |
| 2029 | 13 | 9.8 | 16 |
Blue Jay Survey Routes in Ohio
| Ashley | 36 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Tecumseh | 32 | 1982 | 1966 |
| Lucerne | 30 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Kenton | 27 | 2024 | 1966 |
| West Elkton | 27 | 2012 | 1992 |
| Marion 2 | 26 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Pittsfield | 23 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Marion | 23 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Harveysburg | 20 | 1996 | 1966 |
| Hebron | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Ash Ridge | 20 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Valley City | 20 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Harveysburg 2 | 20 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Tick Ridge | 20 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Garrettsvile | 19 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Lattasburg | 19 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Enon | 19 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Rome | 17 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Bloomville | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Westerville | 16 | 1985 | 1966 |
| Darrtown | 16 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Stonecreek | 16 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Mohican S.F. | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bismark | 15 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Norwalk | 15 | 2024 | 1979 |
Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.