BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Blue Jay in Florida has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-35%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years

Notable Blue Jay Trends in Florida

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Florida. See the full index history below.

Blue Jay Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Florida is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 12–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
12–2195% range
±25%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171222
2026171222
2027171222
2028171222
2029161221

Blue Jay Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Blue Jay in Florida.
Lovedale10120111987
Miller Xrds7620191987
New Hope5020112009
Ocala4920241987
Laurel Hill4720242010
Seminole Hills 24720222002
Blountstown4520241966
Alturas4319861971
Blackwater4020241987
Myakka Head3920111966
Ridge Harbor3720241991
Pleasant Gr3620091987
Hildreth3420091987
Mabel3320111966
Childs3320221966
Betts3220241987
Flemington3219991987
Mt. Olive3220242002
Miccosukee3120241966
Dale Mabry3119881966
Citrus3120242010
Davie3020171987
Dowling Park2820231987
Gardner2819991987
Mabel 22520192012

Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.