Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay Population Trend in Kentucky
Blue Jay in Kentucky has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-47%Since 1968
64Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue Jay Trends in Kentucky
No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Kentucky. See the full index history below.
Blue Jay Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 8.5 (95% range 5.3–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+5%Change by 2029
8.5Projected 2029 index
5.3–1295% range
±6.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 12 |
| 2026 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 12 |
| 2027 | 8.9 | 5.6 | 12 |
| 2028 | 8.7 | 5.4 | 12 |
| 2029 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 12 |
Blue Jay Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Goshen | 38 | 1999 | 1966 |
| Staffordsvil | 36 | 1997 | 1996 |
| Paintsville | 31 | 1995 | 1979 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | 24 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Buena Vista | 22 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Mammoth Cave North | 21 | 2013 | 2009 |
| Pippa Passes | 16 | 1997 | 1988 |
| Boxville | 16 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Plum | 16 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Daniel Boone | 15 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Levee 2 | 15 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Mcbrayer | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Shelbyville | 14 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Glencoe | 14 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Sewell Shop | 14 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Pleasurevill | 14 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Lebanon Junction | 14 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Shiloh | 13 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Kings Mtn | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Porter | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Levee | 12 | 1982 | 1966 |
| Johnsonville | 12 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Million 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Mckee | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Bays Fork | 11 | 2019 | 1999 |
Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.