Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay Population Trend in West Virginia
Blue Jay in West Virginia has surged: up 230% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+230%Since 1968
63Routes In State
58Years
Notable Blue Jay Trends in West Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue Jay has surged in West Virginia: up 230% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Blue Jay Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in West Virginia is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 9.4–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+35%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
9.4–1495% range
±12.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 8.9 | 13 |
| 2026 | 11 | 9.0 | 13 |
| 2027 | 11 | 9.2 | 14 |
| 2028 | 12 | 9.3 | 14 |
| 2029 | 12 | 9.4 | 14 |
Blue Jay Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Slate | 27 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Paradise | 24 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Monongah | 24 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Hix | 23 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Bramwell | 22 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Clear Creek | 20 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Washburn | 20 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Clinton | 18 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Fayetteville | 16 | 1996 | 1980 |
| Sutton | 15 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Rockport | 15 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Sleepy Creek | 15 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Pedro | 14 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Hubbardstown | 14 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Shanghai | 13 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Ghent | 12 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Bismark | 12 | 2023 | 1976 |
| Hanover | 11 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Welch | 11 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Spencer | 11 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Denmar | 11 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Josephs Mill | 11 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Smithfield | 11 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Lost River | 11 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Stollings | 10 | 2021 | 1986 |
Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.