Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay Population Trend in West Virginia

Blue Jay in West Virginia has surged: up 230% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+230%Since 1968
63Routes In State
58Years

Notable Blue Jay Trends in West Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue Jay has surged in West Virginia: up 230% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Blue Jay Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in West Virginia is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 9.4–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+35%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
9.41495% range
±12.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025118.913
2026119.013
2027119.214
2028129.314
2029129.414

Blue Jay Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Blue Jay in West Virginia.
Slate2720241980
Paradise2420231966
Monongah2420221969
Hix2320241970
Bramwell2220231978
Clear Creek2020241988
Washburn2020221974
Clinton1820241966
Fayetteville1619961980
Sutton1520241976
Rockport1520241966
Sleepy Creek1519901966
Pedro1420241979
Hubbardstown1420231966
Shanghai1320221995
Ghent1220241978
Bismark1220231976
Hanover1120241980
Welch1120231980
Spencer1120231986
Denmar1120241980
Josephs Mill1120241993
Smithfield1120241993
Lost River1120231996
Stollings1020211986

Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.