Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay Population Trend in Kansas
Blue Jay in Kansas has risen sharply: up 67% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+67%Since 1969
66Routes In State
57Years
Notable Blue Jay Trends in Kansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue Jay has risen sharply in Kansas: up 67% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Blue Jay Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Kansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 8.4–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-6%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
8.4–1595% range
±9.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 8.2 | 14 |
| 2026 | 11 | 8.3 | 14 |
| 2027 | 11 | 8.3 | 15 |
| 2028 | 11 | 8.4 | 15 |
| 2029 | 12 | 8.4 | 15 |
Blue Jay Survey Routes in Kansas
| Covert | 78 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Kanopolis | 51 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Jewell 2 | 37 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Seneca | 34 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Jewell | 24 | 2005 | 1967 |
| Grantville | 21 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Dover | 20 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Minneapolis | 20 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Bucyrus | 19 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Wreford | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Wellington | 15 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Olathe | 15 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Phillipsburg | 15 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Melrose | 14 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Humboldt | 14 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Pittsburg | 13 | 2021 | 2000 |
| Gray | 12 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Hollenberg | 11 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Beloit | 11 | 2003 | 2000 |
| Buckeye | 10 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Beloit 2 | 10 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Morehead | 10 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Jamestown | 10 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Dalton | 9 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Le Loup | 9 | 2021 | 2000 |
Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.