Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay Population Trend in Nebraska
Blue Jay in Nebraska has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+12%Since 1969
71Routes In State
57Years
Notable Blue Jay Trends in Nebraska
No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Nebraska. See the full index history below.
Blue Jay Population Forecast in Nebraska
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Nebraska is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 5.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 1.4–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-20%Change by 2029
4.2Projected 2029 index
1.4–7.095% range
±33.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 7.1 |
| 2026 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 7.1 |
| 2027 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 7.1 |
| 2028 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 7.0 |
| 2029 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 7.0 |
Blue Jay Survey Routes in Nebraska
| Humboldt | 26 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Murdock | 25 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Johnson | 19 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Midway | 15 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Tilden | 14 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Red Cloud | 13 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Thurston | 12 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Liberty 3 | 12 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Berwyn 2 | 12 | 2021 | 2014 |
| Kearney | 11 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Bartlett | 11 | 1976 | 1967 |
| Brady | 11 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Sparta | 9 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Winside | 9 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Boelus | 9 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Seward | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Surprise | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Julian | 6 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Liberty | 6 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Belvidere | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Irvington | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ponca | 6 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Hendley | 6 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Gretna 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Winside 2 | 6 | 2022 | 2005 |
Blue Jay Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.