Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Jay In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Blue Jay in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-2%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 13–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+14%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
13–1995% range
±11.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
| 2026 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
| 2027 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
| 2028 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
| 2029 | 16 | 13 | 19 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Brousville | LOUISIANA | 43 | 2024 |
| Roseland | LOUISIANA | 41 | 2024 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 38 | 2024 |
| Carlisle | LOUISIANA | 37 | 1988 |
| Rayville 2 | LOUISIANA | 37 | 2024 |
| Gonzales | LOUISIANA | 32 | 2019 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 28 | 2013 |
| Baton Rouge | LOUISIANA | 28 | 2024 |
| Isola | MISSISSIPPI | 28 | 2022 |
| Rayville | LOUISIANA | 24 | 2008 |
| Floyd | LOUISIANA | 24 | 2021 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 23 | 2023 |
| Concord | LOUISIANA | 23 | 2019 |
| Tchula | MISSISSIPPI | 23 | 1975 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 22 | 2019 |
| Gibson | LOUISIANA | 22 | 2019 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 21 | 2024 |
| River Road | LOUISIANA | 21 | 2024 |
| Whitton | ARKANSAS | 20 | 1991 |
| Transylvania | LOUISIANA | 20 | 2022 |
| Tensas Nwr | LOUISIANA | 20 | 2024 |
| Tchula 2 | MISSISSIPPI | 19 | 1994 |
| Augusta 2 | ARKANSAS | 18 | 2016 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 15 | 2022 |
| Eagle Lake | MISSISSIPPI | 15 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.