BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Blue Jay in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 43% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-43%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 5.6–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
5.6–1595% range
±7.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025116.516
2026116.316
2027116.016
2028115.815
2029105.615

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Blue Jay in Peninsular Florida.
OcalaFLORIDA492024
AlturasFLORIDA431986
Myakka HeadFLORIDA392011
Ridge HarborFLORIDA372024
Pleasant GrFLORIDA362009
MabelFLORIDA332011
ChildsFLORIDA332022
FlemingtonFLORIDA321999
Mt. OliveFLORIDA322024
Dale MabryFLORIDA311988
CitrusFLORIDA312024
DavieFLORIDA302017
GardnerFLORIDA281999
Mabel 2FLORIDA252019
SalvistaFLORIDA241979
Boca RatonFLORIDA241994
IndiantownFLORIDA232017
Winter GardnFLORIDA232019
ArbuckleFLORIDA232021
RedlandsFLORIDA222024
RomeoFLORIDA212024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA212024
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA212024
Citrus ParkFLORIDA202024
MicanopyFLORIDA191991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.