BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Blue Jay in Prairie Hardwood Transition has held roughly steady: up 6% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+6%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.8 (95% range 6.4–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-14%Change by 2029
9.8Projected 2029 index
6.4–1395% range
±9.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025106.614
202610.06.513
20279.96.513
20289.96.413
20299.86.413

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Blue Jay in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
HamtramckMICHIGAN431984
HatfieldWISCONSIN371998
CohoctahMICHIGAN342024
CadottWISCONSIN332024
Belding 2MICHIGAN312024
HamburgMICHIGAN292001
Brook ParkMINNESOTA242024
South BendINDIANA231991
HomerMICHIGAN232024
SaxevilleWISCONSIN232024
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN222024
LapeerMICHIGAN222024
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN222024
NashvilleMICHIGAN212024
EdwardsMINNESOTA212024
KnoxINDIANA202024
PettysvilleMICHIGAN201979
Chatfield 2MINNESOTA202024
Hamburg 2MICHIGAN192024
MerideanWISCONSIN192024
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN182024
N FreedomWISCONSIN182024
St StephenMINNESOTA172016
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN172024
Lake GalenaILLINOIS162021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.