BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Blue Jay in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 260% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+260%Since 1973
14Routes In Region
45Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue Jay has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 260% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 114% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.80 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±468.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+114%Change by 2029
0.80Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.995% range
±468.6%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.780.001.9
20260.790.001.9
20270.790.001.9
20280.800.001.9
20290.800.001.9

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Blue Jay in Edwards Plateau.
LeanderTEXAS92006
GeorgetownTEXAS41983
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32024
PidcokeTEXAS22017
AdamsvilleTEXAS21995
Dripping SpgTEXAS22024
LeakeyTEXAS22022
BoerneTEXAS12023
UtopiaTEXAS11995
Valley SpgsTEXAS12000
San SabaTEXAS11985
KempnerTEXAS12023
ManorTEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.