BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Blue Jay in Prairie Potholes has declined: down 36% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-36%Since 1969
101Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.06–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.06–2.995% range
±29.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.153.0
20261.50.133.0
20271.50.112.9
20281.50.082.9
20291.50.062.9

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Blue Jay in Prairie Potholes.
OkleeMINNESOTA202021
ArlingtonMINNESOTA172023
MidwayNEBRASKA152023
TildenNEBRASKA142024
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA122024
BeltramiMINNESOTA92024
SpartaNEBRASKA92021
WinsideNEBRASKA92003
MccallsburgIOWA82024
BurchinalIOWA82024
ChandlerMINNESOTA72023
BadgerMINNESOTA72018
LennoxSOUTH-DAKOTA72024
WashingtonIOWA62024
ZearingIOWA61995
WylieMINNESOTA62024
FairmontMINNESOTA62023
Winside 2NEBRASKA62022
PoncaNEBRASKA62024
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA62024
Abercrombie 2NORTH-DAKOTA62016
RoswellSOUTH-DAKOTA62011
GormanSOUTH-DAKOTA62007
PantherIOWA52024
FranklinMINNESOTA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.