BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Blue Jay in Central Hardwoods has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-41%Since 1968
166Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 29% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 4.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2029
7.9Projected 2029 index
4.9–1195% range
±26.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.75.612
20268.55.411
20278.35.311
20288.15.111
20297.94.911

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Blue Jay in Central Hardwoods.
FarwellARKANSAS492018
EugeneMISSOURI402024
GoshenKENTUCKY381999
RussellARKANSAS362021
New PhilaINDIANA322024
MarshfieldMISSOURI322023
Osage BeachMISSOURI322024
IrontonMISSOURI271980
WoodlandvilleMISSOURI252024
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE252024
PulaskiMISSOURI242024
ClementineMISSOURI242002
Doe RunMISSOURI242024
RichlandMISSOURI232021
Buena VistaKENTUCKY222017
SwedenMISSOURI222024
West PlainsMISSOURI222024
Clear SpringINDIANA212024
Mammoth Cave NorthKENTUCKY212013
ReedsMISSOURI212023
GraydonMISSOURI202024
ZionARKANSAS192024
ComptonARKANSAS192022
HillsboroALABAMA181996
CascadeMISSOURI182024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.