BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesGeneralists

American Kestrel in West Virginia has declined: down 26% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-26%Since 1968
49Routes In State
58Years

Notable American Kestrel Trends in West Virginia

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

American Kestrel Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in West Virginia is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4295% range
±9.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.190.000.44
20260.190.000.43
20270.190.000.43
20280.190.000.43
20290.180.000.42

American Kestrel Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording American Kestrel in West Virginia.
Arlee319791968
Sugar Grove320191977
Clear Creek219951995
Pt Pleasant220231973
Sutton220241995
Cedarville220231983
Mo Of Seneca220012000
Slate220241982
Monongah220101977
Henderson220022002
Hix120241981
Smoot120131994
Pedro120191995
Stollings120062006
Bramwell119781978
Glade Run119921990
Bemis120212021
Hubbardstown120221982
Spencer120231990
Clendenin119791979
Nicut120131990
Meadland120152000
Paradise120111966
Bismark120172015
Olcott120051966

American Kestrel Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.