BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel Population Trend in Nevada

All statesGeneralists

American Kestrel in Nevada has held roughly steady: up 6% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+6%Since 1970
47Routes In State
56Years

Notable American Kestrel Trends in Nevada

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Nevada. See the full index history below.

American Kestrel Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Nevada is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±120.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.895% range
±120.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.002.8
20261.40.002.8
20271.40.002.8
20281.40.002.8
20291.40.002.8

American Kestrel Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording American Kestrel in Nevada.
Walker Can1120241968
Carson River1020052001
Nixon920241973
Mizpah720241991
Toiyabe Nf720241987
Ruby Valley620011997
Ranchogrande520241990
Gardnerville520121992
Calico Spr419741970
Majors Place420241973
Rye Patch319871970
Cortez320241968
Austin320142013
Bald Mtn.320171992
Chimney Res.320232007
Dinner Sta219931968
Meadow Vally220011996
Minerva220241989
Hiko220231968
Comins Lake220152005
Humboldt Nf220181993
Ash Meadows220142009
Mill City220192016
Fallon220241992
Vya119691969

American Kestrel Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.