Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker

PicidaeForest birdsMelanerpes erythrocephalus

Red-headed Woodpecker has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Red-headed Woodpecker

The Red-headed Woodpecker (Melanerpes erythrocephalus) is a North American member of the Woodpeckers (Picidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
6–19.5 in long (15–50 cm) — a chisel-billed climber (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 2,067 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 37 states, most concentrated in the Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Family
Picidae · Forest birds

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker is projected to fall about 66% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker is projected to fall about 66% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.440.001.0
20260.420.001.0
20270.400.000.99
20280.380.000.97
20290.360.000.95

Where the Red-headed Woodpecker Is Detected

BBS routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker, sized by most recent count.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend by State

Red-headed Woodpecker population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama-4%1968106
Arkansas-54%196959
Colorado-47%197326
Connecticutinsufficient datan/a1
Delaware+324%19846
Florida-8%196890
Georgia-6%1968106
Illinois-56%1968105
Indiana-44%196867
Iowa-61%196939
Kansas-38%196966
Kentucky+146%196852
Louisiana-62%196973
Maryland37×196851
Michigan-70%196875
Minnesota-88%196971
Mississippi+22%196873
Missouri-37%196990
Montana-32%197018
Nebraska-11%196976
New Jerseyinsufficient datan/a7
New Mexico+136%197716
New York-79%196840
North Carolina-33%196882
North Dakota-30%196936
Ohio-8%196879
Oklahoma-21%196967
Pennsylvania+51%196866
South Carolina+21%196847
South Dakota+40%196958
Tennessee+101%196843
Texas-71%196982
Vermontinsufficient datan/a1
Virginia+192%196959
West Virginia+104%197421
Wisconsin-78%196883
Wyoming-68%197030

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Red-headed Woodpecker population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Prairie Potholes-56%196991
Boreal Hardwood Transition-52%196969
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain-2%196852
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau-79%19806
Badlands and Prairies+146%196988
Shortgrass Prairie-1%196972
Central Mixed Grass Prairie-20%1969114
Oaks and Prairies-94%196945
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie-43%1968275
Prairie Hardwood Transition-74%1968150
Central Hardwoods+128%1968153
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas-35%1969108
Mississippi Alluvial Valley-45%196862
Southeastern Coastal Plain+15%1968341
Appalachian Mountains+76%1968188
Piedmont+658%1968131
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast37×197052
Peninsular Florida-69%196848
Gulf Coastal Prairie-86%196912

Red-headed Woodpecker Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it down about 42% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.