BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain has edged up: up 15% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+15%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
341Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.5–2.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.11.52.8
20262.11.52.8
20272.21.52.8
20282.21.52.8
20292.21.52.8

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Oak GroveFLORIDA292011
OsceolaFLORIDA282024
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA232024
Broad CreekNORTH-CAROLINA222024
BloxhamFLORIDA202022
DibervilleMISSISSIPPI171987
Port St JoeFLORIDA162011
LovedaleFLORIDA142011
SupplyNORTH-CAROLINA132024
BlackwaterFLORIDA122024
Eglin A.F.B.FLORIDA122011
EufaulaALABAMA102024
DoverGEORGIA102024
BostonGEORGIA102024
Sheep RidgeNORTH-CAROLINA102024
ApalachicolaFLORIDA92024
OlusteeFLORIDA92022
LyonsGEORGIA91992
WrightsvilleGEORGIA92024
MillenGEORGIA92021
Alligator PtFLORIDA82024
TazewellGEORGIA82024
CouncilGEORGIA82024
PhilemaGEORGIA82024
Latimer 2MISSISSIPPI82023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.