BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+21%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
341Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 3.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.6–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 3.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.6–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.21.52.9
20272.21.52.9
20282.21.53.0
20292.31.53.0
20302.31.63.0

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
OlusteeFLORIDA302025
Oak GroveFLORIDA292011
BlackwaterFLORIDA232025
BostonGEORGIA212025
OsceolaFLORIDA202025
SupplyNORTH-CAROLINA202025
DibervilleMISSISSIPPI171987
Port St JoeFLORIDA162011
BettsFLORIDA142025
LovedaleFLORIDA142011
NewtonGEORGIA132025
RaefordNORTH-CAROLINA132025
MiccosukeeFLORIDA122025
HilliardFLORIDA122025
Eglin A.F.B.FLORIDA122011
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA122025
BloxhamFLORIDA112025
Alligator PtFLORIDA112025
NixvilleSOUTH-CAROLINA112025
EufaulaALABAMA102024
PhilemaGEORGIA102025
Sheep RidgeNORTH-CAROLINA102024
CourthouseGEORGIA92025
LyonsGEORGIA91992
Adams RunSOUTH-CAROLINA92025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.