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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-12%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 59% by 2030 — from 2.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-59%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±61.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 59% by 2030 — from 2.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.30.002.6
20271.20.002.6
20281.20.002.6
20291.20.002.5
20301.20.002.5

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Wichita Mtns East2120252004
Pushmataha1520231995
Woodward1320251992
Grimes1020251967
Noble720181967
Erick720241969
Beaver720181980
Rosston620171969
Hollis620251993
Jet620241992
Wichita Mts West620252016
Eagle City520081968
Goodwater520211992
Wakita420031967
Lookout420251967
Sickles420211992
Clear Lake420251992
Canadian320151967
Hardesty320151973
Felt320241968
Phroso220251991
Big Cedar220241969
Blanco219961967
Randlett220241968
Baron220221967

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiopennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.