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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-21%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.002.4
20261.10.002.4
20271.10.002.4
20281.10.002.4
20291.10.002.3

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Wichita Mtns East2920222004
Pushmataha1520231995
Woodward820241992
Noble720181967
Erick720241969
Beaver720181980
Clear Lake720241992
Wichita Mts West720222016
Rosston620171969
Jet620241992
Eagle City520081968
Goodwater520211992
Grimes420241967
Wakita420031967
Sickles420211992
Canadian320151967
Hardesty320151973
Felt320241968
Phroso220191991
Big Cedar220241969
Blanco219961967
Phillips220051968
Randlett220241968
Baron220221967
Peoria220141968

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiopennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.