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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-8%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
90Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.44–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.44–2.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±25.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.44–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.60.452.7
20261.60.452.7
20271.60.452.7
20281.60.442.7
20291.60.442.7

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Oak Grove2920111967
Osceola2820241997
Bloxham2020221988
Port St Joe1620111968
Lovedale1420111987
Blackwater1220241987
Eglin A.F.B.1220111995
Apalachicola920241987
Ocala920241989
Olustee920221992
Chassahowitz920242008
Romeo820241966
Alligator Pt820241987
Broad Branch520241967
Hilliard520241966
Betts520241987
New Hope520112009
St Vincent I520112004
Covington420191968
Pinetta420241989
Seminole Hills 2420192012
Croom420241990
Citrus420242011
Micanopy319911966
Alturas319861971

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.