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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida has edged up: up 20% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+20%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 57% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.47–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-57%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.47–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 57% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.47–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.70.473.0
20271.70.473.0
20281.70.473.0
20291.70.473.0
20301.70.473.0

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Olustee3020251992
Oak Grove2920111967
Blackwater2320251987
Osceola2020251997
Port St Joe1620111968
Betts1420251987
Lovedale1420111987
Miccosukee1220251966
Romeo1220251966
Hilliard1220251966
Eglin A.F.B.1220111995
Bloxham1120251988
Alligator Pt1120251987
Ocala1120251989
Citrus920252011
Pinetta820251989
Apalachicola820251987
Goethe620252010
New Hope520112009
St Vincent I520112004
Broad Branch420251967
Covington420191968
Kenansville420251993
Island Grove420251992
Mt. Olive420252008

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.