BirdAnalyst
Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Wyoming

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Wyoming has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-68%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
52YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in WyomingNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-headed Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Wyoming: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Wyoming

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Wyoming is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-55%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.03Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±69.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Wyoming is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.14
20260.030.000.14
20270.030.000.14
20280.030.000.14
20290.030.000.14

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Wyoming

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Wyoming.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Ethete319931993
Lingle320241980
Otto220041970
Seely 2220222005
Gvnt Valley220192019
Yoder220151981
Meadowdale219891989
Moskee 3220232022
Sundance119751975
Redbird119891969
Brookhurst120111970
Glenrock119681968
Dwyer120191994
Thunder Basin120152015
Dayton120082008
Schoonover120231982
Arvada120241987
Soda Well120231993
Seely119931993
Moskee119931993
Gebo120232023
Sussex120192005
Riverview120171987
Pathfinder119821982
Bucknum119991999

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.