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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi has edged up: up 22% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+22%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.2–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.2–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.61.24.0
20262.61.24.0
20272.61.24.0
20282.61.24.0
20292.61.24.0

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Diberville1719871979
Eagle Lake1320242012
Latimer 2820232021
Trace Chickasaw820242012
Dundee720221970
Grenada Lake720191997
Neely620122006
Benndale620231974
Leaf River620132008
Beverly520111967
Commerce519931966
Utica520211966
Poplarville519781972
Fontainbleau519771966
Moon520181996
Forest420241972
Tupelo420191969
Aberdeen420241973
Trace North420182009
Dahomey Nwr420242011
Trace Madison420192016
Trace Choctaw420182012
Tchula319711970
Lucien320081970
Olive Branch320011966

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.