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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+14%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 67% by 2030 — from 1.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.1–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+67%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 67% by 2030 — from 1.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.1–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.51.13.9
20272.51.13.9
20282.51.13.9
20292.51.13.9
20302.61.14.0

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Diberville1719871979
Latimer 2820232021
Dundee720221970
Grenada Lake720191997
Neely620122006
Benndale620231974
Leaf River620132008
Eagle Lake620252012
Beverly520111967
Commerce519931966
Utica520211966
Poplarville519781972
Fontainbleau519771966
Moon520181996
Tupelo420191969
Aberdeen420251973
Trace North420182009
Trace Madison420192016
Trace Choctaw420182012
Trace Chickasaw420252012
Tchula319711970
Benton320251978
Lucien320081970
Olive Branch320011966
Scooba319821968

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.