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Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Kansas

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Kansas has declined: down 31% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-31%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
66Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Kansas is projected to fall about 39% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.32–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.32–4.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Kansas is projected to fall about 39% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.32–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.70.554.8
20272.60.494.8
20282.60.434.7
20292.50.384.7
20302.50.324.6

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Covert2220251967
Jewell 21420252006
Lincolnville1220242002
Jewell1120051967
Hanover1020251969
Ashland920211969
St John720191967
Hollenberg720251969
Hodges720142000
Wellington620251968
Buckeye620231967
Hays620141967
Phillipsburg620251967
Logan620251967
Missler620161975
Thrall519701967
Kanopolis520251967
Gray520191967
Beloit 2520182005
Jamestown520252000
Wreford420241967
Ellinor420251967
Gove420221970
Olsburg420252000
Beloit420032000

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.