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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-11%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 6.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.23–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.9%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-48%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.23–6.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±51.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 6.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.23–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.9%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.80.537.0
20263.70.456.9
20273.60.386.8
20283.50.306.8
20293.50.236.7

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Eagle Creek4420241967
Pine Ridge3320241999
Sparta2420211967
Midway2120231967
Tilden2020242019
Ponca1620242018
Murdock1420242018
Winside1320031967
Boelus1320222018
Crawford1120241981
Chambers1120232023
Liberty 31120242014
Sumner1020241967
Hendley1020242018
Petersburg920231969
Paxton920161967
Thurston920241967
Ringgold920231985
Lyons920242018
Humboldt920242018
Liberty820031967
Julian720241969
Richland720241968
Bartlett719761967
Hay Springs720242018

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.