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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-7%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 51% by 2030 — from 7.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 0.34–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-51%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.34–7.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±53.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska is projected to fall about 51% by 2030 — from 7.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 0.34–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.00.617.3
20273.90.547.2
20283.80.477.2
20293.70.417.1
20303.70.347.0

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pine Ridge4120251999
Midway3220251967
Eagle Creek2920251967
Murdock2920252018
Sparta2520251967
Tilden2020252019
Madison1620252018
Wheeler Co1520251978
Crawford1420251981
Irvington1320251967
Winside1320031967
Boelus1320222018
Surprise1120251967
Petersburg1120251969
Nenzel1120252019
Ponca1120252018
Hampton1020252018
Humboldt1020252018
Paxton920161967
Liberty 3920252014
Liberty820031967
Sumner820251967
Lyons820252018
Gretna 2820252019
Bartlett719761967

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.