Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Arkansas
Red-headed Woodpecker in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-54%Since 1969
59Routes In State
57Years
Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Red-headed Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Arkansas is projected to fall about 51% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.79 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-51%Change by 2029
0.79Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±57.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Crowley'S Ridge | 7 | 2024 | 2011 |
| England | 6 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Hughes | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Gillett | 5 | 2024 | 2010 |
| South Bend | 4 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Nance | 4 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Locust Bayou | 3 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Waldron | 3 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Ravenden Springs | 3 | 2014 | 2012 |
| Havana | 3 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Sims | 3 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Kelso | 3 | 2016 | 2011 |
| Magazine Mtn | 3 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Princeton | 3 | 2014 | 2003 |
| Wilson | 3 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Ramsey | 2 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Stamps | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Hope | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Ashdown | 2 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Blakely | 2 | 1997 | 1969 |
| Saffell | 2 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Rupert | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Massard | 2 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Fulton | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Centerton | 2 | 2023 | 2010 |
Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.