BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-8%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
79Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to fall about 72% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-72%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.67Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±86.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to fall about 72% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.730.001.9
20260.710.001.9
20270.700.001.9
20280.690.001.9
20290.670.001.9

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bloomville1120241992
Lucerne1120241995
Lattasburg1020241966
Pittsfield820241992
Fulton720241966
Napoleon620241966
Kalida620191967
Darrtown620191966
Dresden520241967
Tecumseh519731966
Stonecreek520242014
Wilgus420092009
Kunkle320221998
Kenton320241966
Wilmington319951966
Newport319941966
Ash Ridge320211992
Marion 2320242024
Zaleski S.F.320242016
Lockport220231967
N Baltimore220181966
Wayland220101992
Troy219951966
Kings Creek220141992
No Kenton220231966

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.