BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
79Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-headed Woodpecker Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to fall about 65% by 2030 — from 2.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.9%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-65%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.77Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±86.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to fall about 65% by 2030 — from 2.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.9%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.820.002.1
20270.810.002.1
20280.790.002.1
20290.780.002.0
20300.770.002.0

Red-headed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lattasburg1020251966
Pittsfield820241992
Marion 2820252024
Kalida620251967
Fulton620251966
Darrtown620191966
Bloomville520251992
Dresden520251967
Tecumseh519731966
Vickery520251996
No Kenton420251966
Wilgus420092009
Kunkle320221998
Kingsway320251966
Kenton320251966
Wilmington319951966
Newport319941966
Ash Ridge320211992
Zaleski S.F.320242016
Mohican S.F.320252024
Lockport220231967
Napoleon220251966
N Baltimore220181966
Wayland220101992
Herner Crns220251967

Red-headed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniasouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.