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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-35%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.96 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.96Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.96 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.00.062.0
20261.00.042.0
20270.990.031.9
20280.970.011.9
20290.960.001.9

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA152023
Neches BithTEXAS122017
FishvilleLOUISIANA72017
AthensTEXAS62016
TroutLOUISIANA52024
HargisLOUISIANA52011
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA52021
NanceARKANSAS42024
ManyLOUISIANA41992
MarionLOUISIANA41996
Derry 2LOUISIANA42024
New WaverlyTEXAS42024
Liberty HillTEXAS42023
Easton 2TEXAS42024
Lance Rosier BithTEXAS42019
Locust BayouARKANSAS32023
WaldronARKANSAS32019
HavanaARKANSAS32021
SimsARKANSAS32023
PrincetonARKANSAS32014
Magazine MtnARKANSAS32021
EastonLOUISIANA31990
ChathamLOUISIANA31975
LongstreetLOUISIANA32024
OakdaleLOUISIANA31994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.