BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-52%Since 1969
69Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Boreal Hardwood Transition: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±132%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2095% range
±132%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.20
20260.000.000.20
20270.000.000.20
20280.000.000.20
20290.000.000.20

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Pine RiverMINNESOTA72024
CathroMICHIGAN41988
BerglandMICHIGAN21979
IshpemingMICHIGAN21994
Traverse CtyMICHIGAN21978
FredericMICHIGAN21985
Beaver LakeMICHIGAN22011
Sand LakeMICHIGAN22024
Isabella 2MICHIGAN22023
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN22024
CromwellMINNESOTA21969
BemidjiMINNESOTA21980
Little ForkMINNESOTA21988
WaskishMINNESOTA21981
GreenbushMINNESOTA22001
Grand ViewWISCONSIN21998
BayfieldWISCONSIN21982
BashawWISCONSIN22015
Crystal FlsMICHIGAN12021
Gibbs CityMICHIGAN11985
Maple GroveMICHIGAN11994
WilsonMICHIGAN11983
CunardMICHIGAN12018
IsabellaMICHIGAN12004
Bear LakeMICHIGAN12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.