Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Appalachian Mountains

Red-headed Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+76%Since 1968
188Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.09–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-45%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.090.3395% range
±48.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.200.080.32
20260.200.090.33
20270.210.090.33
20280.210.090.33
20290.210.090.33

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains.
WilliamsportMARYLAND102024
WoodvilleALABAMA62024
MckeeKENTUCKY62023
DresdenOHIO52024
StonecreekOHIO52024
Rural RetrtVIRGINIA52023
SmootWEST-VIRGINIA52013
BirminghamALABAMA41995
DrummondALABAMA42024
WilgusOHIO42009
GreensportALABAMA32023
RiversideALABAMA32013
LinwoodGEORGIA32019
Zaleski S.F.OHIO32024
Schaefferstown 2PENNSYLVANIA32022
StoneybreakPENNSYLVANIA32022
ChurchvilleVIRGINIA32024
HubbardstownWEST-VIRGINIA31983
SpencerWEST-VIRGINIA32013
Pine GroveALABAMA22022
Sunny EveALABAMA22024
Smyer LakeALABAMA22024
Mt OliveALABAMA22024
MaytownALABAMA22023
Borden SprngALABAMA21998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.