Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-headed Woodpecker In Appalachian Mountains
Red-headed Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+76%Since 1968
188Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-headed Woodpecker has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.09–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-45%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.3395% range
±48.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 0.32 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.33 |
| 2027 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.33 |
| 2028 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.33 |
| 2029 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.33 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Williamsport | MARYLAND | 10 | 2024 |
| Woodville | ALABAMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Mckee | KENTUCKY | 6 | 2023 |
| Dresden | OHIO | 5 | 2024 |
| Stonecreek | OHIO | 5 | 2024 |
| Rural Retrt | VIRGINIA | 5 | 2023 |
| Smoot | WEST-VIRGINIA | 5 | 2013 |
| Birmingham | ALABAMA | 4 | 1995 |
| Drummond | ALABAMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Wilgus | OHIO | 4 | 2009 |
| Greensport | ALABAMA | 3 | 2023 |
| Riverside | ALABAMA | 3 | 2013 |
| Linwood | GEORGIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Zaleski S.F. | OHIO | 3 | 2024 |
| Schaefferstown 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Stoneybreak | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Churchville | VIRGINIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Hubbardstown | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 1983 |
| Spencer | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 2013 |
| Pine Grove | ALABAMA | 2 | 2022 |
| Sunny Eve | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Smyer Lake | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Mt Olive | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Maytown | ALABAMA | 2 | 2023 |
| Borden Sprng | ALABAMA | 2 | 1998 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.