BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-69%Since 1968
48Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 94% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-94%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±83.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.230.001.5
20260.190.001.4
20270.150.001.4
20280.110.001.4
20290.070.001.3

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
OcalaFLORIDA92024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA92024
RomeoFLORIDA82024
CroomFLORIDA42024
CitrusFLORIDA42024
MicanopyFLORIDA31991
AlturasFLORIDA31986
SalvistaFLORIDA31979
Ft MccoyFLORIDA32002
NobletonFLORIDA32024
GardnerFLORIDA31999
CrewsvilleFLORIDA32024
GoetheFLORIDA32024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA22009
Polk CityFLORIDA22013
ChildsFLORIDA22015
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA22010
DeanvilleFLORIDA22013
KissimmeeFLORIDA22013
SandyFLORIDA22004
PalmdaleFLORIDA21993
Mt. OliveFLORIDA22024
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA22010
Green SwampFLORIDA22019
Ridge HarborFLORIDA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.