BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-74%Since 1968
150Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Prairie Hardwood Transition: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±145.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±145.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.001.4
20260.000.001.4
20270.000.001.4
20280.000.001.4
20290.000.001.4

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Rolling PrWISCONSIN752008
Prairie Du ChienWISCONSIN172024
EsdaileWISCONSIN112015
GuilfordILLINOIS82023
Rolling GrndWISCONSIN82024
KnoxINDIANA72024
NapoleonOHIO62024
N AndoverWISCONSIN62024
BriggsvilleWISCONSIN62024
Hazel GreenWISCONSIN52024
CochraneWISCONSIN42009
ViroquaWISCONSIN42024
WiotaWISCONSIN42024
South BendINDIANA31989
KewannaINDIANA32022
Columbia CtyINDIANA32023
LagrangeINDIANA32024
LawrenceMICHIGAN32023
CoopersvilleMICHIGAN32000
Hamburg 2MICHIGAN32022
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN32012
Money CreekMINNESOTA32009
MinnetonkaMINNESOTA32007
Brook ParkMINNESOTA32024
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.