BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-94%Since 1969
45Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±211.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3695% range
±211.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.36
20260.000.000.36
20270.000.000.36
20280.000.000.36
20290.000.000.36

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies.
NobleOKLAHOMA72018
SchroederTEXAS31977
KosseTEXAS31994
OsageTEXAS31970
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA21977
HeyburnOKLAHOMA22018
Oak GroveTEXAS21986
OakwoodTEXAS21980
ThorntonTEXAS21980
Wolfe CityTEXAS21982
PaigeTEXAS22015
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12017
LocoOKLAHOMA11984
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA12006
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA12023
BeggsOKLAHOMA12004
ChoctawOKLAHOMA12015
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12007
TatumsOKLAHOMA12021
DuncanOKLAHOMA12021
SkiatookOKLAHOMA12009
Arenosa CrkTEXAS11984
GauseTEXAS11990
Peach CreekTEXAS11989
Massey LakeTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.