BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 128% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+128%Since 1968
153Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-headed Woodpecker has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 128% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.33–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.33–2.695% range
±30.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.342.6
20261.50.342.6
20271.40.332.6
20281.40.332.6
20291.40.332.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods.
YorkILLINOIS142024
NewberryINDIANA122024
WhitewaterMISSOURI102024
Indian SpgsINDIANA92024
PimentoINDIANA82024
BrazilINDIANA82024
GeorgiaINDIANA82024
BoxvilleKENTUCKY81983
Bays ForkKENTUCKY82019
PulaskiILLINOIS72024
SpencerINDIANA72024
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY72024
BennettMISSOURI62024
PetersburgTENNESSEE62012
BirdsILLINOIS52024
WashingtonINDIANA52024
CumbackINDIANA52004
PleasurevillKENTUCKY52024
PulaskiMISSOURI52024
Osage BeachMISSOURI52024
LincolnMISSOURI52024
WrigleyTENNESSEE52016
Union HillTENNESSEE52023
Brnt PrairieILLINOIS42024
Cave In RockILLINOIS42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.