BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 48× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

48×Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
53Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-headed Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

Red-headed Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 58% by 2030 — from 0.92 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.18–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-58%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.39Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.18–0.6095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±46.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 58% by 2030 — from 0.92 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.18–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.360.150.57
20270.370.160.58
20280.380.170.58
20290.380.170.59
20300.390.180.60

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MadisonMARYLAND212025
HongaMARYLAND142025
CokesburyMARYLAND142025
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND52025
BrandonVIRGINIA42025
AlbionNEW-JERSEY31990
Spraguetown 3NEW-JERSEY32025
Port RoyalVIRGINIA32016
QuinbyVIRGINIA32025
FrankfordDELAWARE22012
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE22024
Tall TimbersMARYLAND22001
HughesvilleMARYLAND22008
EastonMARYLAND21982
NewarkMARYLAND22025
St. George'S IslandMARYLAND22016
BerlinMARYLAND22024
TruhartVIRGINIA22023
Chincoteag WVIRGINIA22018
Mid HaddamCONNECTICUT11988
HarringtonDELAWARE11967
HolleyvilleDELAWARE12000
MiltonDELAWARE12014
MillsboroDELAWARE12025
PepperboxDELAWARE12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.