BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-headed Woodpecker In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont has surged: up 658% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+658%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
131Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-headed Woodpecker has surged in Piedmont: up 658% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-headed Woodpecker In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.92 (95% range 0.67–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.92Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.67–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.92 (95% range 0.67–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.870.621.1
20260.880.631.1
20270.900.651.1
20280.910.661.2
20290.920.671.2

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
EmmitsburgMARYLAND232024
EkloMARYLAND92018
OlneyMARYLAND62024
IjamsvilleMARYLAND62024
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA52024
SharonGEORGIA52022
Curry HillGEORGIA52018
ConcordVIRGINIA52024
Liberty City 2ALABAMA42022
Nixburg 2ALABAMA42024
RutledgeGEORGIA42024
Good HopeGEORGIA42024
Piedmont NwrGEORGIA42003
WhitmireSOUTH-CAROLINA42024
Taylorstown 2VIRGINIA42024
Liberty CityALABAMA32011
BowdonGEORGIA32018
WashingtonGEORGIA32023
Yates CrossroadsGEORGIA32023
Sharon 2GEORGIA32024
Pleasant ValMARYLAND32024
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA32019
JoannaSOUTH-CAROLINA32021
FinchleyVIRGINIA32017
CrestGEORGIA22023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.