BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-headed Woodpecker In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont has surged: up 741% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+741%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
133Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-headed Woodpecker has surged in Piedmont: up 741% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-headed Woodpecker In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.70–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-27%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.97Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.70–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.70–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.920.641.2
20270.930.661.2
20280.940.671.2
20290.960.691.2
20300.970.701.2

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Red-headed Woodpecker in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
EmmitsburgMARYLAND232025
EkloMARYLAND92018
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA82025
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA72025
Liberty City 2ALABAMA62025
SharonGEORGIA52022
Curry HillGEORGIA52018
Sharon 2GEORGIA52025
ConcordVIRGINIA52024
BrodnaxVIRGINIA52025
Nixburg 2ALABAMA42025
RutledgeGEORGIA42025
Piedmont NwrGEORGIA42003
OlneyMARYLAND42025
WhitmireSOUTH-CAROLINA42024
Carters Brdg 2VIRGINIA42025
Liberty CityALABAMA32011
CrestGEORGIA32025
WashingtonGEORGIA32023
Carrs StationGEORGIA32025
Rock BranchGEORGIA32025
Pleasant ValMARYLAND32024
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA32019
Plum BranchSOUTH-CAROLINA32025
GreenwoodSOUTH-CAROLINA32025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.