BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Texas has surged: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+127%Since 1969
145Routes In State
57Years

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Wild Turkey has surged in Texas: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Texas is projected to rise about 112% by 2029 — from 0.63 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.75–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±150.2%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+112%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.75–1.995% range
±150.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.681.9
20261.30.701.9
20271.30.721.9
20281.30.731.9
20291.30.751.9

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Texas.
La Pryor1519711971
Goliad Prairie1420162004
Rankin1020171972
Cottonwood920231979
Williams920242003
Cavasara Cr.919951995
Schroeder819961981
Hondo820241972
Raymondville820241976
Muldoon720152012
Henrietta720082005
Leakey720231994
Duran719991995
San Pedro720231996
Mirando City620242008
Campbellton620181985
Valley Spgs620241968
Rockspring620241994
Cayuga520172016
Shields520011999
Megargel520241996
Albany420211986
Olney420181979
Post420242016
Booker420231999

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.