BirdAnalyst
Species · Wyoming · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Wyoming

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Wyoming has declined: down 31% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-31%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
44Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in WyomingNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Wyoming. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Wyoming

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Wyoming is projected to rise about 100% by 2030 — from 0.29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.57 (95% range 0.03–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±291%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+100%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.57Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±291%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Wyoming is projected to rise about 100% by 2030 — from 0.29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.57 (95% range 0.03–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±291%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19752030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.550.001.1
20270.560.011.1
20280.560.011.1
20290.570.021.1
20300.570.031.1

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Wyoming

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Wyoming.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Harmony2320172017
Arvada2220241987
Wyarno1920181975
Fletcher Pk1020251989
Bucknum920052005
Clarkelen719781975
Otto620152002
Sundance620241983
Yoder620212011
Schoonover620151990
Seely620001992
Lingle620211988
Chugwater620242014
Pine Bluff619961996
Crazy Woman520092009
Mayoworth520241984
Nowood320251988
Rozet320252025
Dayton320251987
Riverview319921984
Newcastle320251995
Raven319931993
Lovell220191991
Moskee220011980
Sussex220222008

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.