Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wild Turkey Population Trend in Kentucky
Wild Turkey in Kentucky has surged: up 908% on the route-weighted index since 1990.
+908%Since 1990
47Routes In State
36Years
Notable Wild Turkey Trends in Kentucky
long arc increasecomputed index
Wild Turkey has surged in Kentucky: up 908% on the route-weighted index since 1990.
Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Kentucky is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.2–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±94.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+45%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.2–3.295% range
±94.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.95 | 3.0 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 2028 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 |
Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Apex | 13 | 2019 | 2005 |
| Riverqueen | 10 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Lovelacevile | 7 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Pleasurevill | 7 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Mammoth Cave | 7 | 2014 | 1997 |
| Johnsonville | 6 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Mammoth Cave North | 5 | 2013 | 2009 |
| Shiloh | 4 | 2011 | 1997 |
| East Union | 4 | 2016 | 1991 |
| Levee 2 | 4 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | 3 | 2018 | 1994 |
| Keysburg | 3 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Hegira | 3 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Buena Vista | 3 | 2017 | 2003 |
| Morganfield | 3 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Million 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Lebanon Junction | 3 | 2018 | 2001 |
| Sulphur Lick | 2 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Sunnybrook | 2 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Merrimac | 2 | 2023 | 1989 |
| Eastview | 2 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Dixie | 2 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Plum | 2 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Bays Fork | 2 | 2017 | 2000 |
| Hodgenville 2 | 2 | 2022 | 2008 |
Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.