BirdAnalyst
Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Louisiana has declined: down 36% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-36%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
41YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Louisiana. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Louisiana is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.00–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.4395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±122.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Louisiana is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.00–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.120.000.44
20260.120.000.44
20270.120.000.43
20280.120.000.43
20290.120.000.43

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lacombe1119671967
River Road620112008
Derry 2420242022
Linville320232006
Port Allen320062006
Tensas Nwr220241987
Fishville220121999
Franklinton220222011
Ramah220142010
Norwood220112011
Pearl River219941994
Slidell219841984
Roseland119771977
Bickham120111984
Fort Jessup120162016
Plettenberg120031976
Ivan120082001
De Ridder119911991
Shaw120082007
Atchafalaya120241997
Mer Rouge119941994
Vinton 2120232023
Clay120061996
Greensburg120112011
Trout120081995

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.