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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Oklahoma has surged: up 826% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+826%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
59Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wild Turkey has surged in Oklahoma: up 826% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 159% by 2030 — from 1.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 1.2–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±175.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+159%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±175.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 159% by 2030 — from 1.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 1.2–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±175.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.00.964.9
20273.01.05.0
20283.11.15.1
20293.11.15.1
20303.21.25.2

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Erick5320241973
Cookietown3220021974
Tegarden1320161970
Lookout920251967
Hee Mountain820191999
Clear Lake620221998
Reed520191985
Noble520251978
Phroso420251992
Beggs420221996
Eagle City420091976
Grimes420251967
Blanco320031993
Ardmore220091967
Baron220161985
Canadian220131992
Indianola220241985
Chester219871980
Tatums220241998
Hollis220251993
Heyburn220252002
Colcord220022002
Keetonville220112011
Woodward220241994
Mt. Herman220192001

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.