BirdAnalyst
Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Connecticut

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Connecticut has surged: up 832% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

+832%Since 1986TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
17Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
38YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in ConnecticutNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wild Turkey has surged in Connecticut: up 832% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Connecticut

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Connecticut is projected to rise about 251% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.13–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±123.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+251%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.13–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±123.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
19842029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.50.052.9
20261.50.072.9
20271.50.092.9
20281.50.113.0
20291.60.133.0

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Connecticut

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Connecticut.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Woodstock 2720232017
Mystic520221996
Woodstock320071994
Westbrook320191998
Warren320101984
Uncasville220241997
Willimantic220181997
Sherman220161986
Danbury220192005
New Hartford220231996
Granby220241990
Buckingham120221996
No Woodbury120151988
Greenwich120101996
Mid Haddam120231996
Southington120082005
Warren 2120232012

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradodelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.