BirdAnalyst
Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Utah

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Utah has increased: up 43% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

+43%Since 1988TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
32YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in UtahNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Utah. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Utah

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Utah is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-23%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.34Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.7995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±69%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Utah is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.320.000.77
20260.330.000.77
20270.330.000.78
20280.340.000.78
20290.340.000.79

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Utah

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Utah.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hanna1620242018
Newcastle820221998
Moquith Mtn620152015
Aneth520242014
Shivwitz520232014
La Sal 3520232007
Kamas420182001
Escalante420222003
Beaver319991999
Hardware Ranch320182012
Oak City220061997
Bryce Canyon220232008
Navajo Lake220081968
Hatch220231994
Westwater220162016
Jensen220241995
Bonanza220042004
Beryl220232005
Wellington 3120222021
Moon Lake 2120232016
Promontory120242021
M Warner Res120242018
Alton 2120232023
Gooseberry120211999
Dixie Nf120032003

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.