BirdAnalyst
Species · Idaho · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Idaho

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Idaho has surged: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+140%Since 1995TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
30YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in IdahoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wild Turkey has surged in Idaho: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Idaho

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Idaho is projected to fall about 10% by 2030 — from 0.49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.16–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.44Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.16–0.7195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Idaho is projected to fall about 10% by 2030 — from 0.49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.16–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19922030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.400.120.68
20270.410.130.69
20280.420.140.70
20290.430.150.70
20300.440.160.71

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Idaho

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Idaho.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baker920211995
Naples620251999
Nezperce620071999
Mivoden420251998
Centerville320252001
Coolin320251992
Grangeville220222005
Crane Creek220132003
Cedar Hill120032003
Gifford120152006
Golden120102010
Rochat Divde120251993
Joel120092007
Salmon River120091995
Baldy Mountain120132013

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.