Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wild Turkey Population Trend in Tennessee
Wild Turkey in Tennessee has surged: up 382% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
+382%Since 1983
48Routes In State
33Years
Notable Wild Turkey Trends in Tennessee
long arc increasecomputed index
Wild Turkey has surged in Tennessee: up 382% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Tennessee is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.59–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+43%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.59–2.695% range
±24.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 0.47 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 0.50 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.53 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.56 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.59 | 2.6 |
Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Wrigley | 12 | 2022 | 2001 |
| Pond Creek | 10 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Bradyville | 9 | 2021 | 1999 |
| Mansfield | 7 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Collinwood | 7 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Trace Lewis | 7 | 2016 | 2013 |
| Signal Mtn | 6 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Allens Brdge | 6 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Pawpaw | 5 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Petersburg | 5 | 2013 | 2000 |
| Oliver Spgs | 5 | 2009 | 2007 |
| Moscow | 4 | 2013 | 2010 |
| Tellico | 4 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Cades Cove | 4 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Indian Mound | 3 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Belotes Bend | 3 | 2018 | 2000 |
| Glen | 3 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Newfound Gap | 3 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Big Sandy | 2 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Campbellsville | 2 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Peytonsville | 2 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Silver Pt | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Mt Olive | 2 | 2019 | 2006 |
| Mecca | 2 | 2016 | 1999 |
| Trace Collinwood | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.