BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Oregon

All statesGame birds

Wild Turkey in Oregon has surged: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1993.

24×Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
47Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
34YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Oregon. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oregon is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 0.73 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.94 (95% range 0.64–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.94Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.64–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oregon is projected to rise about 29% by 2030 — from 0.73 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.94 (95% range 0.64–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19882030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.840.541.1
20270.870.561.2
20280.890.591.2
20290.920.611.2
20300.940.641.2

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Umpqua1720251996
Green1520251994
Coquille1220252012
Imnaha920242006
Sams Valley920251994
Santiam620222013
Mt Hood620132013
Lorane620252008
Salado320092009
Wickiup320222022
Scio320251997
Elkton320241988
Prospect320241999
Lakeview320132013
Flora220232003
Logdell220222022
Bridgeport220222009
Days Creek220241994
Harlan 2220232023
Mount Vernon220242008
Secret Val220252010
Badger Creek220241996
Twickenham220252023
Newbridge220252005
Monument220222006

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.