BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Oregon

All statesGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Oregon has surged: up 26× on the route-weighted index since 1993.

26×Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
33YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wild Turkey Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wild Turkey has surged in Oregon: up 26× on the route-weighted index since 1993.

Wild Turkey Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oregon is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 0.70 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.93 (95% range 0.63–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+33%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.93Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.63–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Oregon is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 0.70 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.93 (95% range 0.63–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19882029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.830.521.1
20260.850.551.2
20270.880.571.2
20280.910.601.2
20290.930.631.2

Wild Turkey Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Umpqua2420241996
Imnaha920242006
Santiam620222013
Mt Hood620132013
Troy420192003
Selma420242007
Sams Valley420241994
Salado320092009
Wickiup320222022
Scio320221997
Elkton320241988
Lorane320242008
Prospect320241999
Lakeview320132013
Flora220232003
Logdell220222022
Bridgeport220222009
Days Creek220241994
Harlan 2220232023
Mount Vernon220242008
Secret Val220222010
Badger Creek220241996
Twickenham220232023
Green220241994
Monument220222006

Wild Turkey Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.