Guild
Game Birds
23 species tracked. As a group, game birds are -88%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.
Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →
guild collapsecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →
Game birds as a group have collapsed in surveyed states, down 88% since 1968.
Game Birds Population Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Game birds as a group is projected to fall about 100% by 2030 — from 0.53 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±151%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
0.00Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
Game Birds By State
| Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → | ||
|---|---|---|
| Colorado | -97% | 10 |
| Idaho | -97% | 10 |
| Ohio | -97% | 4 |
| Maryland | -97% | 4 |
| North Carolina | -96% | 3 |
| West Virginia | -93% | 4 |
| Virginia | -92% | 4 |
| Delaware | -90% | 3 |
| New Jersey | -90% | 4 |
| Indiana | -88% | 3 |
| Pennsylvania | -87% | 4 |
| Wyoming | -86% | 9 |
| Illinois | -84% | 4 |
| Missouri | -84% | 4 |
| Michigan | -83% | 4 |
| Alaska | -83% | 5 |
| Utah | -78% | 8 |
| Texas | -75% | 8 |
| Connecticut | -68% | 4 |
| New York | -64% | 4 |
| Massachusetts | -62% | 4 |
| Oklahoma | -59% | 4 |
| Iowa | -58% | 4 |
| South Dakota | -57% | 6 |
| Oregon | -55% | 10 |
| Montana | -50% | 7 |
| Nebraska | -38% | 5 |
| Kansas | -38% | 5 |
| California | -36% | 8 |
| Minnesota | -24% | 7 |
| Arizona | -6% | 4 |
| Wisconsin | -2% | 7 |
| New Mexico | -2% | 6 |
| Washington | +82% | 8 |
| New Hampshire | +158% | 3 |
| Vermont | +380% | 3 |
| Maine | +404% | 3 |
| North Dakota | +588% | 4 |
| Nevada | +638% | 5 |