Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite

OdontophoridaeGame birdsColinus virginianus

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Northern Bobwhite

The Northern Bobwhite (Colinus virginianus) is a North American member of the New World Quail (Odontophoridae). In this analysis it is grouped with the game birds.

Size
8–11 in long (20–28 cm) — a small, round game bird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Fields, brushland, prairie and the forest floor, where it forages and nests on the ground.
Diet
Seeds, grain, buds, leaves and insects gathered on the ground.
Range
Recorded on 2,207 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 42 states, most concentrated in the Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Family
Odontophoridae · Game birds

Notable Northern Bobwhite TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in surveyed states: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern Bobwhite Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±158.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±158.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.000.004.3
20260.000.004.3
20270.000.004.3
20280.000.004.3
20290.000.004.3

Where the Northern Bobwhite Is Detected

BBS routes recording Northern Bobwhite, sized by most recent count.

Northern Bobwhite Population Trend by State

Northern Bobwhite population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama-94%1968107
Arkansas-93%196959
Colorado-75%197027
Connecticut-96%196811
Delaware-95%196814
Florida-73%1968115
Georgia-85%1968108
Idahoinsufficient datan/a2
Illinois-80%196897
Indiana-87%196865
Iowa-68%196934
Kansas-25%196967
Kentucky-83%196861
Louisiana-95%196990
Maineinsufficient datan/a3
Maryland-99%196867
Massachusetts-100%196819
Michigan-100%196849
Minnesota-34%197512
Mississippi-98%196868
Missouri-78%196994
Nebraska-8%196963
New Hampshireinsufficient datan/a8
New Jersey-99%196835
New Mexico+79%197316
New York-99%196844
North Carolina-95%1968105
Ohio-99%196876
Oklahoma-64%196971
Oregoninsufficient datan/a5
Pennsylvania-99%196893
Rhode Island-83%19684
South Carolina-94%196851
South Dakota-62%197310
Tennessee-95%196851
Texas-77%1969213
Vermontinsufficient datan/a1
Virginia-96%196875
Washingtoninsufficient datan/a7
West Virginia-100%196845
Wisconsin-96%196861
Wyoming-58%19874

Northern Bobwhite Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Northern Bobwhite population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Northern Pacific Rainforest-69%19769
Prairie Potholes-42%196921
Boreal Hardwood Transition-39%197916
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain-99%196840
Atlantic Northern Forest+14%197413
Badlands and Prairies-81%19736
Shortgrass Prairie+8%196988
Central Mixed Grass Prairie-36%1969126
Edwards Plateau-89%196920
Oaks and Prairies-91%196971
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie-75%1968263
Prairie Hardwood Transition-98%1968123
Central Hardwoods-85%1968161
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas-95%1969106
Mississippi Alluvial Valley-90%196862
Southeastern Coastal Plain-87%1968339
Appalachian Mountains-99%1968288
Piedmont-97%1968160
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast-98%1968132
Peninsular Florida-76%196873
Chihuahuan Desert+240%197513
Tamaulipan Brushlands-62%196928
Gulf Coastal Prairie-65%196943

Northern Bobwhite Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it down about 88% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.