BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Shortgrass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 8% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+8%Since 1969
88Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Bobwhite in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 0.52–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2029
4.1Projected 2029 index
0.52–7.895% range
±41.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.10.477.7
20264.10.487.7
20274.10.497.7
20284.10.517.8
20294.10.527.8

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Shortgrass Prairie.
SkellytownTEXAS1292024
PlainsTEXAS482024
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA472024
HookerOKLAHOMA382024
MiamiTEXAS282024
PlymellKANSAS252024
PlainsTEXAS242017
PostTEXAS182024
ChanningTEXAS182018
TenmileTEXAS182023
ClovisNEW-MEXICO152024
LamesaTEXAS142024
FrionaTEXAS142024
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO121997
LakinKANSAS122022
KeyesOKLAHOMA112024
PaxtonNEBRASKA102016
FeltOKLAHOMA102024
ClaytonvilleTEXAS92022
FloydadaTEXAS82024
UlyssesKANSAS72024
PantexTEXAS72024
PanhandleTEXAS72024
HardestyOKLAHOMA62024
GruverTEXAS62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.