BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-95%Since 1969
106Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–8.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±544.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.095% range
±544.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.008.0
20260.000.008.0
20270.000.008.0
20280.000.008.0
20290.000.008.0

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Fort PolkLOUISIANA461975
ChathamLOUISIANA461975
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA402023
MatoyOKLAHOMA322000
SandbluffOKLAHOMA311995
PocolaOKLAHOMA252016
DerryLOUISIANA181989
McalesterOKLAHOMA171991
GoodwillLOUISIANA132012
PhillipsOKLAHOMA132008
IndianolaOKLAHOMA122024
CrowsARKANSAS111991
ManyLOUISIANA101992
HopeARKANSAS92000
BethelOKLAHOMA92024
RamseyARKANSAS81997
PoyenARKANSAS82007
PrincetonARKANSAS82021
NatchezLOUISIANA82024
NanceARKANSAS72024
Four LakesARKANSAS72001
CypressLOUISIANA71987
FillmoreLOUISIANA71989
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA71996
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.