Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Bobwhite In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Northern Bobwhite in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-99%Since 1968
40Routes In Region
47Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4717.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±4717.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| Strongsville | OHIO | 9 | 1976 |
| New Somerset | OHIO | 4 | 1993 |
| Teepleville | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 1992 |
| Wayland | OHIO | 3 | 2001 |
| Macdougall | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1995 |
| Clinton | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1993 |
| Argyle | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1977 |
| Rhinebeck | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1996 |
| Romulus | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1972 |
| Trumansburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1992 |
| Orleans | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1980 |
| Rushville | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2010 |
| Branchport | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1995 |
| Canadice L | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1989 |
| Mt Morris | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2003 |
| Hamburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1970 |
| West Seneca | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1998 |
| St Johnsburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2002 |
| E Youngstown | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1993 |
| Cicero Ctr | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1977 |
| Alder Creek | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1976 |
| Salem | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1976 |
| North Easton | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2011 |
| Ogdensburg | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1987 |
| Pittsfield | OHIO | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.