BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Bobwhite In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGrassland birds

Northern Bobwhite in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-91%Since 1969
71Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Bobwhite has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Bobwhite in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 5.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±157.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±157.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.0016
20260.000.0016
20270.000.0016
20280.000.0016
20290.000.0016

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Northern Bobwhite in Oaks and Prairies.
E GeorgetownTEXAS541979
BriteTEXAS412024
LocoOKLAHOMA391985
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA391977
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA332009
ThorntonTEXAS271984
Three RiversTEXAS252024
Mount ZionTEXAS232024
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA222024
SkiatookOKLAHOMA192019
DuranTEXAS191999
HobsonTEXAS182024
Wolfe CityTEXAS171987
OlneyTEXAS162024
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA152018
CampbelltonTEXAS142024
Arenosa CrkTEXAS142024
CreedmoreTEXAS122014
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA112024
AlbanyTEXAS112024
HenriettaTEXAS112022
TatumsOKLAHOMA82024
DuncanOKLAHOMA82024
HeyburnOKLAHOMA62024
SchroederTEXAS61997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.